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Railway industry: The key company's 2011 net profit growth rate was 16%, and the growth of passenger and freight traffic was stable. The probability of price increase in the next year was high.
From January to November 2011, the national railway cargo and passenger traffic volume increased by 6.5% and 8.5% respectively year-on-year. In terms of the company, the Datong-Qinhuangdao Line's annual transportation volume reached 440 million tons, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year; the Guangshen Railway passenger transport volume increased by 7% year-on-year.
Benefited from price increase and traffic volume increase, the annual growth rate of the key companies in the railway industry reached 16%; among which, the price increase of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway due to intercity trains increased by 25%, and the profit forecast of Daqin Railway and Tielong Logistics was slightly adjusted. The main reason is that the cost increase was slightly more than expected and the real estate settlement was postponed. We expect that as the CPI falls, the price increase of the national railways in 2012 will be about 5%-10%; due to cost pressure and economic slowdown, the first quarter performance may decline.
Logistics industry: The key company's 2011 net profit growth rate was 31%. The industry continued to develop rapidly. Policies are still the focus of future attention. From January to November, the total cost of logistics and the added value of logistics increased by 18.5% and 14.7% year-on-year, respectively. The high growth of oil prices and liquidity resulted in significant growth in transportation costs and interest expenses. The key companyâ€™s 2011 net profit growth rate reached 31%. The main reasons are the increase in warehousing prices, the expansion of extended logistics services, and investment gains such as the sale of equity and triangular arbitrage. We judge that 2011 will be the year for logistics planning, and 2012 will be the year for implementation of logistics policies. In the future, the country may introduce specific support policies such as reducing the land use tax for land use by logistics companies, park logistics planning, and encouraging mergers and acquisitions of logistics companies.
Airfreight to asia,High Quality Airfreight to asia,Airfreight to asia Details, CN
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